When Tusk was officially released a few months ago, a lot of people thought Shago and Hizako were bad MUs for Tusk. Well, time has passed, people have had enough time to develop strategies against those characters, to the point I no longer think those 2 MU are bad for Tusk. In fact, without being a pro player, I’ve hardly lost against those characters in recent months.
So, how to beat Tusk? First of all, take a few seconds to see how your opponent plays; is he offensive? or is he waiting for you?. Overly offensive players are actually the easiest to beat as Shago; all you have to do is use Shago’s quick openers at the right time (since Tusk is slower than most of the cast) and hit Tusk accordingly, just wait and punish.
However, more experienced Tusk players, who are more familiar with the MU, will know how unsafe Shago’s arsenal is, therefore it is likely they will be the ones waiting for you to make a mistake. If that’s the case, you’re gonna have to be quite unpredictable; full screen dive kicks and slide kicks WILL NOT work against those players and WILL get you straight into damage city. Therefore try to use ambiguous cross ups, use your meter for surge and and make calculated risks, so you always keep them guessing about your next move.
Like you were already told, don’t guess break, specially against heavy hitters like Tusk, a couple of bad guesses and you can say goodbye to your life bar. Go to the combo breaker training, try to get a feeling of Tusk’s auto doubles (at least the heavy auto doubles at first) and try to break only when you’re 100% sure of it. Be mindful of counter breaks though, if you keep breaking the same auto doubles all the time, chances are your rival will try to counter break, and that’s something you really don’t want against Tusk, so don’t break everything either.
I hope this helps